WQ81465 (e) Tabled on 04/11/2020

Will the Minister publish/release Swansea University's COVID modelling behind its reasonable worst case scenario for winter 2020/21?

Answered by Minister for Health and Social Services | Answered on 16/11/2020

The Technical Advisory Cell (TAC) has published results from the Swansea model in the firebreak paper published on 19 October and in the TAC New Reasonable Worst Case (RWC) scenario for the winter, which was published on 9 September.  

TAC continually monitors how actual cases, hospital admissions and deaths compare to the RWC and keeps the RWC under review.  

https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/publications/2020-10/technical-advisory-group-fire-breaks_2.pdf

https://gov.wales/sites/default/files/publications/2020-09/technical-advisory-group-new-worst-case-scenario-for-winter.pdf