Will the Welsh Government set out the detailed methods by which it will measure the reproduction rate for Wales as lockdown measures are eased?
Estimates of Rt (the reproduction number) are currently produced once a week by academic groups which feed into the Scientific Pandemic Influenza Group on Modelling (SPI-M) and the Scientific Advisory Group for Emergencies (SAGE).
We will use a range for Rt for Wales, based on these estimates and continue to closely monitor changes in the reproduction number. These estimates use a range of methods and are based on measuring trends in confirmed cases, hospital admissions and deaths from coronavirus. Further information is available in the TAC Modelling publication, dated 7 May 2020.